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CEE Banking Outlook

Banking in CEE

CEE Banking Study 2016:


A more sustainable growth model is moving forward




  • Most CEE economies showed strong economic growth in 2015 and proved more resilient towards shifts in investors' sentiment with regards to emerging markets
  • Overall banking sector profitability is normalizing on a new post-crisis level, still double the one of Western Europe
  • Growing reliance on local deposits and strong capital adequacy ratios partially diminish past vulnerabilities

In 2015 the economic environment for banks operating in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) has been rather positive. Despite some exceptions, most countries in the region showed strong economic growth and resilience against shifts in investors' sentiment towards emerging markets, which was in good part related to their deep integration with the euro area and solid macroeconomic fundamentals. Banking sectors in most countries have remained profitable, although the overall level is normalizing compared to the pre-crisis period. These are some of the key findings of the latest CEE Banking Study, which was conducted by UniCredit´s CEE Strategic Analysis department and which covers 13 different countries. Looking forward, economic recovery is expected to further support lending, especially in countries which have been lagging behind so far. Non-performing loan ratios, which are currently high in various countries, should decline.